Rams +1 vs. Seahawks (1 unit) -110
The Seahawks have been the luckiest team in the NFL this year. They’re 9-1 in one possession games, which is completely unsustainable. The Rams have a net yards per play advantage at +0.9 while the Seahawks are at +0.1. According to DVOA, the Rams have the number 12 passing defense and number 3 rushing defense. The Seahawks run the ball at the fourth highest rate in the league, which plays to the strength of the Rams. Earlier in the year, the Rams lost by 1 at Seattle despite having a yards per play advantage of 7.1 to Seattle’s 6.4. Seattle’s passing defense is most vulnerable in the middle of the field, so look for Kupp and Higbee/Everett to have big days. Seattle also just lost their starting center for the year, and their backup is grading at 49.4 this year for PFF. Their guards are playing poorly as well, grading at 59.2 and and 57.2. Aaron Donald is going to be the number one trending topic on Twitter on Sunday night.